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Invisibrarian
 
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Default Chase update - 07-14-2009 , 02:06 PM






Interesting twist in the points after Chicago.

Top 7 places are pretty solid as long as they don't have a series of
screw-ups that take them out of the races.

Kahne and Montoya are solidifying their positions in the points. They
have a good chance of holding on in the top-12.

Kyle Busch, with his poor Chicago finish, drops back to a position only
a few points inside the top 12. He needs consistently better finishes
to keep in the chase. Probably not a problem, but he needs to stay fast
and out of trouble.

Mark Martin has a legitimate shot at staying in the chase. He's running
well and staying competitive. And I think he has a desire to be in the
top-12. Definitely the sentimental favorite.

Kenseth is probably a legitimate contender, but somehow it doesn't seem
like he's as hungry as Biffle and Martin.

The Biffster slipped out of the top-12 points though he's only a couple
of finishing positions behind 9th. Its possible that he could pick off
Kenseth.

Reutimann has a tough hill to climb. Doubtful that he'll make it unless
two of the top 13 have some big problems in the last few races.

Lower than that? Probably better chances playing the lottery.

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Chad
 
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Default Re: Chase update - 07-14-2009 , 09:03 PM






"Invisibrarian" <no.spam (AT) mail (DOT) com> wrote

Quote:
Interesting twist in the points after Chicago.

Top 7 places are pretty solid as long as they don't have a series of
screw-ups that take them out of the races.

Kahne and Montoya are solidifying their positions in the points. They
have a good chance of holding on in the top-12.

Kyle Busch, with his poor Chicago finish, drops back to a position only a
few points inside the top 12. He needs consistently better finishes to
keep in the chase. Probably not a problem, but he needs to stay fast and
out of trouble.

Mark Martin has a legitimate shot at staying in the chase. He's running
well and staying competitive. And I think he has a desire to be in the
top-12. Definitely the sentimental favorite.

Kenseth is probably a legitimate contender, but somehow it doesn't seem
like he's as hungry as Biffle and Martin.

The Biffster slipped out of the top-12 points though he's only a couple of
finishing positions behind 9th. Its possible that he could pick off
Kenseth.

Reutimann has a tough hill to climb. Doubtful that he'll make it unless
two of the top 13 have some big problems in the last few races.

Lower than that? Probably better chances playing the lottery.
Bowyer looked a lot better at Chicago than he has recently. If RCR can get
it together consistently now he is still a good chance... and if Vickers can
convert some of that quali speed into a string of top 10s, he is close
enough.

If Reutimann can avoid losing too much ground at Watkins Glen, he has the
form to do it too I think.

That said, I don't know who will slip out. The 3 Fords up there have
probably looked shakiest most of the season for mine. And if Kyle doesn't
start racing for points soon luck could go either way for him.

As a bit of a wildcard, I think Ambrose might end up in 13th by the end of
the chase. for what that's worth.

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